Immigration and Crime do not Correlate

“data suggests that either immigration has the effect of reducing average crime, or that there is simply no relationship between the two.” 

A systematic study of the relationship between crime and immigration the “data suggests that either immigration has the effect of reducing average crime, or that there is simply no relationship between the two.”  Crime fell more often than it rose even as immigrant populations increased in areas.

While politicians and other demagogues love blame the “outsiders” and “foreigners” for the problems of our community, the facts don’t support their claims.

On the chart below, note how the pink dots representing small and large cities where crime has increased since 1980 cluster to the left of the chart — the less immigrants side of the chart.

Chart - Immigrants and Crime scatter plot - NYT - 2018-03-31

Source: NYT 3/31/18.

Chart: Who Votes in Midterms

There are three ways to compel a democratically elected government to act:

  1. A revolution – overthrow them.
  2. Agitation that is strong and so pervasive in the media, and yet sympathetically covered, that the voting majority is influenced by the group’s actions in their voting choices.
  3. Voting.

Chart - Who voted in 2014 midterm - NYT - 2018-02-28

Source: NYT 2/28/18.

Economist, Albert Hirschman described disgruntled citizens’ options: Exit, Voice, or Loyalty.  Voting is voice.

Hogs at the Trough…

Fund-raisers held by members of the conference committee during the tax reform debate were hot tickets for tax lobbyists, who eagerly forked over a few hundred — or even a few thousand — dollars for face time with lawmakers who controlled the fate of valued loopholes.

Hogsfeeding_Fotor

Some sadly business-as-usual quotes from a Times article on the behind the scenes efforts of Washington lobbyists around the Republican 2017 tax bill.

 

In all, more than half of the 11,000 registered lobbyists in Washington reported working on tax-related issues through the first nine months of the year, according to a report released this month by the nonprofit group Public Citizen.

No matter how convincing the policy analysis or how steady the constituent pressure, though, personal and financial connections to policymakers remained among the most important currency on K Street during the tax debate, as has been the case in legislative battles for decades.

Fund-raisers held by members of the conference committee during the tax reform debate were hot tickets for tax lobbyists, who eagerly forked over a few hundred — or even a few thousand — dollars for face time with lawmakers who controlled the fate of valued loopholes.

Mr. Portman has held fund-raisers in recent weeks, and has another one scheduled for next week at the fashionable Charlie Palmer Steak restaurant across the street from the Capitol. Attendees are being asked to donate $1,000 each through their political action committees or $250 in personal funds, according to an invitation, which bills the event as a “birthday breakfast” for Mr. Portman, whose birthday is the day before the event.

A Republican who attended a fund-raiser late last month for another member of the conference committee, Senator John Cornyn of Texas, said several lobbyists asked the senator about tax reform. Mr. Cornyn kept his responses vague, telling attendees that he was hopeful that the process could be completed before Christmas.

Source: NYTimes 12/16/17.